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February 27, 2008

2008 NFL Free Agency Preview: Tight Ends

While it’s true that two of this year’s top options at tight end were franchised:

…there are a number of viable options remaining at the TE position. Whether you want a proven, pass-catching stud with some injury questions (Alge Crumpler) or a blocking beast (Kyle Brady) or something in between (Marcus Pollard); there are choices. Given the breadth of available free agents, expect a lot of movement for very reasonable financial terms.

The Top Tight Ends on the Market

  1. Alge Crumpler (6′2″, 264 pounds, 30 years old) – The seven year veteran is the gem of the free agent market; but recent injury concerns might keep him from reaping top dollar. Crumpler is a perennial Pro Bowler and actually managed to make Michael Vick look like a real NFL passer at times. Even though he only started 10 games last year, Crumpler caught 42 passes for 444 yards and 5 TDs. Crumpler also can stretch the field; averaging 13.3 yards per catch over his career, and logging catches of 40 or more yards in all but one season. Expect Crumpler to visit several teams before signing a multi-year deal as a starter for a playoff contender.
  2. Bo Scaife (6′3″, 249 pounds, 27 years old) – Scaife is a restricted free agent and probably isn’t leaving Tennessee. But he’s young and sure handed; making it entirely possible some team will sign him to an offer sheet. Expect Scaife to re-sign with Tennessee with a multi-year deal.
  3. Ben Utecht (6′6″, 251 pounds, 26 years old) — Everyone knows about Dallas Clark, but Utecht is quietly a valuable part of the Colts offensive attack. Not only has he caught 68 passes over the last two seasons, but he’s averaged better than 11 yards per reception. Although he’s a restricted free agent, his age and versatility make him an attractive option for a team looking at upgrading their starter without breaking the bank.
  4. Eric Johnson (6′3″, 252 pounds, 28 years old) – Johnson, when healthy, is a solid pass catcher but lacks explosiveness (career 9.1 yards per catch). He’s also failed to play a full season yet in his career. That said, he caught 48 passes in 12 starts last year as a Saint, and will get an opportunity to make plays for some team in 2008.

The (Near) Complete List

Player Name Status 2007Team 2008Team
Stephen Alexander UFA DEN  
Courtney Anderson UFA ATL  
Mike Bartrum UFA PHI  
Dwayne Blakley UFA ATL  
Mark Bruener UFA HOU  
Christian Fauria UFA CAR  
Bryan Fletcher UFA IND  
Michael Gaines UFA BUF  
John Gilmore UFA CHI  
Ben Hartsock UFA TEN  
Eric Johnson UFA NO  
Bennie Joppru UFA SEA  
Brian Kozlowski UFA WAS  
Ryan Krause UFA GB  
Billy Miller UFA NO  
Matt Murphy UFA BUF  
John Owens UFA DET  
Marcus Pollard UFA SEA  
Jeff Robinson UFA SEA  
Mike Seidman UFA IND  
Jerramy Stevens UFA TB  
Ben Troupe UFA TEN  
Ben Utecht UFA IND  
Aaron Walker UFA STL  
Jermaine Wiggins UFA JAX  
Kris Wilson UFA KC  
Billy Bajema RFA SF  
Tony Curtis RFA DAL  
Joel Dreessen RFA HOU  
Tim Euhus RFA ARZ  
John Madsen RFA OAK  
Sean McHugh RFA DET  
Jamie Petrowski RFA TEN  
Kyle Brady Released NE  
Alge Crumpler Released ATL  
Jason Dunn Released KC  
Bubba Franks Released GB  
Jeb Putzier Released HOU  
Jerame Tuman Released PIT  
Zac Alcorn Signed SF SEA
Richard Angulo Signed JAX JAX
Cody Boyd Signed WAS PIT
Nate Jackson Signed DEN DEN
Teyo Johnson Signed DEN BUF
Joe Newton Signed SEA SEA
Buck Ortega Signed MIA NO
Sean Ryan Signed NYJ MIA
Cooper Wallace Signed CIN SF

February 22, 2008

Franchise Tag: 2008 Recap

The deadline for teams to apply the franchise or transition tag designations ended at 4:30 pm EST yesterday; so now it’s time to recap what happened and evaluate some of the moves (and non-moves).

Twelve (12) teams used the franchise tag designation:

  • CB Nmandi Asomugha (Oakland)
  • CB Marcus Trufant (Seattle)
  • DE Jared Allen (Kansas City)
  • DT Albert Haynesworth (Tennessee)
  • DT Corey Williams (Green Bay)
  • LB Karlos Dansby (Arizona)
  • LB Terrell Suggs (Baltimore)
  • OT Stacy Andrews (Cincinnati)
  • OT Jordan Gross (Carolina)
  • S Ken Hamlin (Dallas)
  • TE Dallas Clark (Indianapolis)
  • TE L.J. Smith (Philadelphia)

Most Surprising Tag: Stacy Andrews

Andrews played quite well last season, but it was his first year as a starter. The Bengals still have Levi Jones and Willie Anderson in the picture; although that may change now that Andrews has been tagged. Given the importance of Carson Palmer and Andrews’ age, the move isn’t a total shocker; although few outside of die hard Bengals fans expected it.

Most Surprising Non-Tag: Randy Moss 

As we discussed last night, not tagging Randy Moss is shocking only if they don’t already have a long-term deal completed; but unannounced until the February 29th start of free agency. We expect he IS under contract, but if this proves untrue, this may be the most shocking non-tag decision of the modern era.

Other Surprising Non-Tags 

  • OT Flozell Adams (Dallas) – Adams is no spring chicken, and the Cowboys did use their tag on someone else (Ken Hamlin), but this is a bold move if the Cowboys don’t end up re-signing Adams. He has played at a high level the last few seasons and the team doesn’t have someone of his caliber (or close to it) currently on the roster. Will Jerry Jones be willing to go to battle with a young, unproven tackle in 2008?
  • PK Josh Brown (Seattle) — The Seahawks tagged Brown last year and it was thought he could be tagged again this season; but now free agency looms. It’s never an easy decision to let a proven kicker walk, but perhaps they didn’t see the logic in making him the highest paid PK in the league.

Interesting Tag Minutiae

  • Exclusive tag versus non-exclusive – As we discussed earlier this week, Nmandi Asomugha was tagged with an exclusive franchise designation, meaning the Raiders paid him more (the average of the 2008 top 5 projected salaries versus the 2007 in a normal tag) in exchange for keeping Asomugha from being able to negotiate with other teams. It’s telling that only one of twelve teams opted to use this tag; as it involves paying a player more yet brings less wiggle room. Why a team would pass up the idea of getting 2 first round picks if a team wants their free agent badly enough is a mystery (the Raiders would still have had the right to match).
  • Is Suggs a linebacker or defensive end? — The Baltimore Ravens tagged Terrell Suggs as a linebacker, but he has filed a grievance contending he should be paid as a defensive end. The difference? About $800K for the one-year tender. This matter will be settled shortly (if Suggs lined up more than 50% of the snaps as an end, he’ll get his extra dough), but it’s odd that Suggs, who has gone to the Pro Bowl twice as a LINEBACKER would think of himself otherwise.

Most Likely to Sign a Long-term Deal: Dallas Clark

OK, this is cheating since Clark already signed a 6-year deal to remain with the Colts.

Least Likely to Sign a Long-term Deal:  L.J. Smith

The Eagles remain concerned about Smith’s health and likely won’t agree to a long-term extension without seeing improvement on the field. This is basically a one-year option to retain a talented, system TE in a very weak free agent market for tight ends.

How did we do in our predictions?

We previewed each division and our thoughts on potential tag candidates. Overall, I’d say we did quite well.

  • We correctly predicted 9 of 10 ‘definites’; our only whiff was on Randy Moss
  • We noted that Flozell Adams and Ken Hamlin were possibilities in Dallas [although we leaned toward Adams]
  • We noted that Brown and Trufant were possibilities in Seattle [and leaned toward Trufant]
  • We noted DT Corey Williams and WR Bernard Berrian as possible tags [one out of two]
  • We suggested that Justin Smith shouldn’t be tagged

Now it’s onto free agency and the NFL draft!
Related Blogs:

February 8, 2008

NFC East Potential Tag Players

Dallas Cowboys

Option 1: OT Flozell Adams

Flozell Adams is an unrestricted free agent and could garner a tag if the team feels his services are indispensable. Adams is a 4-time Pro Bowler and played at an extremely high level in 2007. But at 32 years old (he’ll be 33 in May), he’s not someone that is really in line to get a long-term deal. If he’s unwilling to accept a 3-year deal; the team may have no choice but to tag him.

Option 2: S Ken Hamlin

Ken Hamlin is the best safety available in free agency and helped solidify a former weak spot this year. Franchising a safety is less of an economic burden than tackle; but it’s arguably easier to replace a safety via the draft than it is to find another offensive book end.

     

New York Giants

The Giants are unlikely to use the tag designations this offseason. Their only major free agents (Gibril Wilson, Reggie Torbor and Kawika Mitchell) are worthy of contract extensions but it would be difficult to justify paying any of them money that equates to the best at their respective positions.

Philadelphia Eagles

TE L.J. Smith

The Eagles have assigned the franchise tag designation to L.J. Smith; guaranteeing him $4.5mm this season (if he signs the tender). Although Smith was injured for much of the 2007 season, tagging him makes imminent sense given the lack of attractive alternatives in free agency. The Eagles get a chance to evaluate Smith before deciding whether to extend him long-term, and in turn Smith gets top 5 money despite a disappointing 2007 season. A win/win.

Washington Redskins

Much like the Giants, it’s unlikely the Redskins will use their tag designations this offseason. The Redskins have no marquee free agents that would justify the financial commitment, and happen to be the only team projected to be signficantly over the salary cap entering free agency.

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