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August 7, 2008

Brett Favre: How has he done at Giants Stadium?

Filed under: FBG, Giants Stadium, Performance, Home Team, Brett Favre, NFL, Fantasy, Footballguys, AFC East, QB — Jason Wood @ 10:54 am

When a player has as many years and starts under his belt as Brett Favre does, it’s safe to say he’s amassed enough statistical output at almost every stadium to get a sense for how he would perform if that was his new home turf. Giants and Jets fans know full well that playing home games at Giants Stadium isn’t necessarily the easiest thing for a quarterback. It’s not just that it’s windy, but that the wind is unpredictable and prone to changes in direction.

Andy Herron sparked a discussion in our Shark Pool about whether we should be concerned about the home field conditions as we try to project Favre’s fantasy output this year.

So how has Favre performed as a visitor to Giants Stadium?

Year Week Opp Outcome Comps Atts Comp% Yards YPA TDs INTs FPTs
1992 10 NYG L,7-27 27 44 61.4% 279 6.3 0 3 8.0
1998 11 NYG W,37-3 21 33 63.6% 267 8.1 2 0 23.4
2001 17 NYG W,34-25 15 30 50.0% 315 10.5 2 0 25.8
2002 17 NYJ L,17-42 16 33 48.5% 172 5.2 1 1 11.6
2007 2 NYG W,35-13 29 38 76.3% 286 7.5 3 1 27.3
Totals


108 178 60.7% 1319 7.4 8 5 96.0

While I wouldn’t read too much into these numbers, they should put to rest any undue criticism that Favre will somehow struggle because of the conditions at Giants Stadium. He may need time to adjust to a new offense, new surroundings, new teammates. But he won’t have trouble adjusting to the conditions.

Just for fun, here is what a 16-game season would look like if we took Favre’s career averages at Giants stadium and projected them over a year’s worth of games:

  • 346 completions
  • 570 attempts
  • 60.7% rate
  • 4,221 yards
  • 7.4 yards per attempt
  • 26 TD passes
  • 16 INTs

Again, don’t take this as any kind of predictive measure of how his 2008 season will turn out. But do recognize that he’ll be able to put up numbers in his new home digs, provided he adjusts to the new offense.

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