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February 12, 2008

Donovan McNabb: More playmakers…or make more plays?

Filed under: NFL, Free Agency, Offseason, Donvan McNabb, NFC East, Stats, QB, WR, Fantasy, Eagles — Jason Wood @ 10:56 pm

Last month, Donovan McNabb made a plea for management to bring in more playmakers, citing the team’s 8-8 record and 4th place division finish:

Now that the season is over and we are concentrating on 2008, I hope we are able to secure some playmakers in all three phases of the game. Maybe some of those playmakers are already on the roster but have struggled with injuries, myself included, that have held us back a little.

You can’t argue with how the Patriots went outside their locker room and stocked up on playmakers last year. It certainly helped to have Randy Moss, Donte Stallworth, Wes Welker and Adalius Thomas making plays for them all year.

I’m surprised that anyone would have a problem with me, or anyone else in the organization, expressing a desire to bring in more quality players. We were 8-8. There is room for improvement. This is a competitive sport. It’s about putting together the best players, the best team, and giving yourself the best chance to win.

OK, as an Eagles season ticket holder I’m not going to pretend to be unbiased on this matter. On the surface, it’s hard to argue with McNabb’s statement. After all, the Eagles lacked impact playmakers on both sides of the ball. The team ranked poorly in big plays on offense, and didn’t force enough turnovers on defense. Certainly, all things being equal, I would like to see Philadelphia make some bold offseason maneuvers.

BUT…has McNabb looked in the mirror? Dos the buck stop with “5″? Rather than simply accept the perception that Philadelphia has a lack of playmakers on offense, I thought it might be worth putting some numbers together to see if the stats bear out McNabb’s contentions.

Yards After the Catch (YAC)

The ability of a receiver to generate yards after the catch is essential; particularly in a West Coast offense. To that end, the Eagles’ as a team generated 2,147 yards after the catch last season. That was the THIRD BEST TOTAL IN THE LEAGUE. In other words, McNabb’s receivers did a lot on their own once he got the ball into their hands. But that number (2,147 yards) doesn’t tell the whole story. Let’s look at what percentage of each team’s receiving yards came after the catch:

Rank Team YAC Yards YAC%
1 Min 1,811 2,745 66.0%
2 SF 1,485 2,320 64.0%
3 StL 1,953 3,233 60.4%
4 Car 1,623 2,735 59.3%
5 Pit 1,777 3,071 57.9%
6 Phi 2,147 3,755 57.2%
7 Mia 1,672 3,031 55.2%
8 Bal 1,557 3,035 51.3%
9 NO 2,212 4,314 51.3%
10 Buf 1,346 2,634 51.1%
11 GB 2,161 4,334 49.9%
12 NYJ 1,485 3,014 49.3%
13 SD 1,435 3,005 47.8%
14 Det 1,831 3,878 47.2%
15 Was 1,630 3,463 47.1%
16 Jac 1,520 3,328 45.7%
17 Hou 1,708 3,751 45.5%
18 KC 1,404 3,181 44.1%
19 NYG 1,382 3,154 43.8%
20 Chi 1,452 3,362 43.2%
21 TB 1,447 3,357 43.1%
22 Cle 1,603 3,726 43.0%
23 Ten 1,190 2,878 41.3%
24 Ari 1,656 4,065 40.7%
25 Cin 1,566 4,012 39.0%
26 Oak 1,009 2,631 38.4%
27 Dal 1,565 4,105 38.1%
28 Den 1,351 3,584 37.7%
29 NE 1,780 4,731 37.6%
30 Ind 1,508 4,033 37.4%
31 Atl 973 3,296 29.5%
32 Sea 1,114 3,964 28.1%

As you can see, the Eagles pass catchers generated nearly THREE FIFTHS of the team’s yards AFTER THE CATCH. Thinking of this another way, Donovan McNabb and the other Eagles’ QBs just didn’t get the ball downfield with regularity. So I ask, is it the receivers or McNabb that needs to improve?

Dropped Passes

Another key metric is dropped passes. Nothing is more frustrating for a QB than to put the ball where it needs to be only to have a receiver drop the ball. So have the Eagles been a victim of the drops?

Rank Team Drops Atts Drop%
1 GB 43 578 7.4%
2 Sea 39 590 6.6%
3 TB 32 490 6.5%
4 Mia 36 558 6.5%
5 Phi 37 577 6.4%
6 Min 27 432 6.3%
7 NO 39 652 6.0%
8 Pit 26 442 5.9%
9 Cle 30 545 5.5%
10 Ten 25 464 5.4%
11 Jac 25 469 5.3%
12 Oak 24 451 5.3%
13 Ind 28 551 5.1%
14 NYG 27 544 5.0%
15 Car 25 505 5.0%
16 NE 27 586 4.6%
17 Dal 24 531 4.5%
18 Atl 24 555 4.3%
19 SD 20 471 4.2%
20 Ari 24 590 4.1%
21 Det 23 587 3.9%
22 KC 22 563 3.9%
23 Was 20 525 3.8%
24 Hou 18 529 3.4%
25 NYJ 17 512 3.3%
26 StL 19 574 3.3%
27 Bal 18 557 3.2%
28 Cin 18 575 3.1%
29 Den 15 515 2.9%
30 SF 13 513 2.5%
31 Buf 10 445 2.2%
32 Chi 12 569 2.1%

On this front it seems McNabb may have a better argument. The Eagles receivers dropped 6.4% of the team’s attempts; among the worst in the league.

So what’s the verdict? The Eagles, like many teams, could always use more offensive playmakers. But this perception that Philly’s receiving corps is among the least impressive in the league simply isn’t accurate. Could it be better? Certainly. But a lot of the blame for the team’s lack of explosiveness in the passing game falls at the feet of McNabb and his backups.

1 Comment »

  1. I’m not convinced that these yards after catch numbers tell the whole story. While Brian Westbrook has been tremendous in recent seasons, I’m willing to bet that a breakdown of yards after the catch league-wide among only wide receivers will show that Philly’s wideouts aren’t that good. Once Westbrook’s YAC numbers are taken out of the equation, McNabb’s argument for an upgrade at receiver will likely be reinforced. Furthermore, the passing yards on this chart lose some validity when you consider that passing yards include yardage lost from sacks. Receiving yards are unaffected by sack yardage, making them more relevant to such a study.

    Comment by statboyinva — February 15, 2008 @ 11:29 am

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