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November 23, 2007

Stability at QB: The Key to Success

Filed under: NFL, Data Dominator, Footballguys, Fantasy, QB — Jason Wood @ 9:26 pm

The NFL is an injury-riddled league and the QB position is no stranger to bumps and bruises. This year has been no exception, with more than half of the league starting at least 2 QBs this year. In fact, four teams have started THREE QBs this season:

Team QB1 QB2 QB3
Arizona Matt Leinart Kurt Warner Tim Rattay
Carolina Jake Delhomme David Carr Vinny Testaverde
Miami Trent Green Cleo Lemon John Beck
Minnesota Tarvaris Jackson Brooks Bollinger Kelly Holcomb

It’s no surprise that none of these teams have a winning record. A few other points to consider:

  • 53 QBs have started at least one game this year
  • 17 teams have used at least 2 starters
  • After this weekend (Donovan McNabb = Doubtful), 18 teams (56% of the NFL) will have started 2+ QBs

So is there any truth to the adage “if you have two QBs you have none?”

Let’s look at the team winning percentages broken down by the # of starting QBs:

# of Starting QBs Wins Losses Win%
1Starter 98 56 63.6%
2Starters 52 80 39.4%
3Starters 13 27 32.5%

I would’ve expected this data to show that teams with one, healthy and productive QB would have the better winning percentage. But I was stunned to see the differential. The 15 teams that have used just one starter have a combined 63.6% winning percentage. The rest of the league (17 teams) have a combined 65-107 record having won just 37.8% of their games.

1 Comment »

  1. […] Two weeks ago we discussed the necessity of QB stability for NFL success. At the time, there were 4 teams (Arizona, Carolina, Miami and Minnesota) who started THREE QBs this season. Here is a refresher: […]

    Pingback by Footballguys Blog » Further evidence that QB stability is critical… — December 11, 2007 @ 9:24 pm

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